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Halley's Prediction

Having perceived that the elements of the comet of 1682 were nearly the same as those of two comets which had appeared respectively in 1531 and 1607, Edmund Halley concluded that all the three orbits belonged to the same comet with a period of about 76 years.

After a rough estimate of the perturbations it must sustain from the attraction of the planets, he predicted its return for 1757, a bold prediction at that time, but justified by the event, for the comet again made its appearance as was expected, though it did not pass through its perihelion till the month of March 1759, the attraction of Jupiter and Saturn having caused, as was computed by Clairault previously to its return, a retardation of 618 days.

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Time-Line

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995Appearance of a comet (ASC)
1066Appearance of Halley\'s Comet taken by the Normans as a sign of the fall of Harold II and England to their invasion
highly styalised, the comet was later depicted in a Bayeux Tapestry
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1106Sighting of a comet
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1456Appearance of Halley's Comet
First mention of the comet, with a period of approx. 76 years, since 1066
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1531Appearance of Halley\\\'s Comet
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1577Johannes Kepler, aged 6, taken to see a comet
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1607Appearance of Halley\'s Comet
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1682Appearance of Halley\'s Comet
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1698.NovPeak of the 33 year cycle of the Leonid meteor shower associated with the comet Tempel-Tuttle producing thausands of meteors per hour
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1759.MarPerihelion (closest solar approach of the orbit) of Halley\'s Comet, boldly predicted by Edmund Halley after whome it is named to appear in 1757
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1799.NovPeak of the 33 year cycle of the Leonid meteor shower associated with the comet Tempel-Tuttle producing thausands of meteors per hour
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1835Appearance of Halley\'s Comet, much dimmer than historically described
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1866.NovPeak of the 33 year cycle of the Leonid meteor shower associated with the comet Tempel-Tuttle producing thausands of meteors per hour
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1908.Jun.30Tunguska Event: Fireball in the sky hits central Siberia with a massive explosion of some 10-15 megatonnes leveling 2,000 sq km of forests and causing shockwave to travel twice round the world
Possibly the impact of a small comet
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1910Earth passes through the tail of Halley\'s Comet amidst much unfounded media speculation of lethal mass poisoning by CN
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1933.AugFoundation of The Meteoritical Society to promote the study of extraterrestrial materials and their history
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1953First publication of Meteoritics (now Meteoritics and Planetary Science) by The Meteoritical Society
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1954.Oct.191954: \'Metal fatigue\' caused Comet crashes Start of the public inquiry into two Comet airliner disasters within three months of each other causing the aircrafts\' certificate of airworthiness to be withdrawn
1966.NovPeak of the 33 year cycle of the Leonid meteor shower associated with the comet Tempel-Tuttle producing thausands of meteors per hour
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1979.Aug.30The first recorded instance of a comet hitting the sun
The energy released by the event was approx. about equal to 1 million hydrogen bombs
1979.Aug.31The comet Howard-Koomur-Michels collides with the sun
1986Appearance of Halley\'s Comet, closely studied from Earth and by several space probes
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2001.NovPeak of the 33 year cycle of the Leonid meteor shower associated with the comet Tempel-Tuttle producing thausands of meteors per hour
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2061Predicted appearance of Halley\'s Comet
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